Stumble it!Blogs for Attacking Iran?
posted in Blogs4Bush, Iran by themaiden |I’m tempted to start spreading the rumor that Mark Noonan has died and been replaced with someone significantly more reasonable.
As for me, personally, I would eschew airstrikes until we’ve at least given blockade a try. Destroy Iran’s one oil refinery and then prevent them from importing or exporting gasoline and oil - Iran’s economy is on the brink and the mullahs need every penny they can lay their hands on to pay the goons who keep the Iranian people suppressed. A month of blockade would send the Iranian economy into a death spiral which only revolution could fix. On the other hand, I can see why the Administration might not want to take this route - even if we obtained pledges of increaesd production from OPEC and opened up our Strategic Petroleum Reserve, the global energy markets might go into panic mode and push oil to $100 or more per barrel - and that could wreck the global economy, especially China’s, which might then provoke an aggressive reaction in east Asia. Tricky world we live in…but, on the whole, I prefer the non-violent route to at least be tried.
Blogs for Bush: The White House Of The Blogosphere: Attacking Iran?
See what I mean? Its… just… so… cogent. And thus so very not-Mark. “Eschew airstrikes”? Where’s that old blast-em-up glory fireball America gung-ho spirit? And sanctions? Why that’s just so defeatocrat lib’ral I can hardly stand it! But that wishful thinking about a “month of blockade” and death spirals and revolutions and then everything is better is pure Bush neocon fantasy, so maybe I was too quick to call him ‘reasonable’.
I have to say though that he’s nailed it when he talks about provoking an “aggressive reaction in east Asia”. He fails to mention that this is a danger with any action against Iran. Whether we go with sanctions, blockades, or guns Iran’s oil production will be severely reduced and people will get angry– not at them, at us. Call me Machiavellian, but we can’t fight everybody at once. Mark, however, might think we can. In a comment he writes:
Niether China nor Russia will wish to commit suicide to protect the mullahs.
Blogs for Bush: The White House Of The Blogosphere: Attacking Iran?
Are you insane? China or Russia, commit suicide? China alone outnumbers us by 2.5 to 1 or so. Sorry, Mark, that doesn’t sound like suicide material to me. Raw numbers aren’t everything, although it has worked well for Russia several times in the past, but picking that kind of fight it idiotic. The best case is the devastation of all involved.
Mark,…
President Bush can’t count on his successor being able or willing to take the necessary action - and President Bush knows full well the risk to America and the world if some future Administration “clintons” the issue into a worthless agreement the mullahs never have any intention of keeping.
Blogs for Bush: The White House Of The Blogosphere: Attacking Iran?
… Bush can’t count on his successor “being able or willing to take the necessary action” because the ‘necessary action’ as calculated by you and by the neocons in the White House is god-damned stupid on several different levels.
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